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羊群效应

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發表於 2006-7-26 23:51:50 | 顯示全部樓層 |閱讀模式
羊群效应,真的無話可説。 当金价大升時人人都信金价会去到 700, 750, 800 ...一旦金价跌時又唯恐跌个没完没了。550 也歉太高。怪不得最後稳赚的总是基金大哥大,只因他們的心内没有绝对。

Someone even said 1 Oz gold = 15 barrels crude oil, never heard this before, really "Tim Fong Yeh Tam" and impossible. Gold and oil are two different products, their price is governed and dominated by so many uncertain factors, absolutely unwise to tie in the two with a simple ratio.  Those who believe will suffer eventually.
發表於 2006-7-26 23:58:16 | 顯示全部樓層
所以要做狼,狼能吃羊。
 樓主| 發表於 2006-7-27 00:06:50 | 顯示全部樓層
Guest  在 2006-7-26 23:58 發表:

所以要做所以要做狼,狼能吃羊。,狼能吃羊。


Not so easy to become a" 狼" my friend.  要很高度行的。所以大部分的羊都变成" 狼"的美奌。
發表於 2006-7-27 00:18:10 | 顯示全部樓層
BY兄,其實1安士黃金=15桶石油係以前沿用落來,我前兩年在報紙還看到這種論調.其作用是為黃金討下合理價值作指標作用.或者資深黃金業內工作者可解答上述問題.KG
 樓主| 發表於 2006-7-27 00:28:06 | 顯示全部樓層
Guest  在 2006-7-27 00:18 發表:

BY兄,其實1安士黃金=15桶石油係以前沿用落來,我前兩年在報紙還看到這種論調.其作用是為黃金討下合理價值作指標作用.或者資深黃金業內工作者可解答上述問題.KG


KG.

May be long long times ago when 1 Oz gold was fixed to USD37.5 (Can't remember the except figure, cancelled the tie-up by Yankees many many years ago), then it was possible because gold = USD at fixed ratio during that time.
發表於 2006-7-27 00:32:51 | 顯示全部樓層

美元下跌

应该有利于黄金,螺旋桨转了3天,该是时候升空了吧?
發表於 2006-7-27 00:36:53 | 顯示全部樓層
但為何前兩年看報紙外國黃金分析員還有這種論調呢?令人費解.KG
發表於 2006-7-27 00:42:39 | 顯示全部樓層

突破620

进入杀空行情,但估计也涨不到650。
發表於 2006-7-27 00:44:59 | 顯示全部樓層
不要看太高
 樓主| 發表於 2006-7-27 00:47:47 | 顯示全部樓層

Gold History for KG to Note

In 1792 the U.S. Congress adopted a bimetallic standard (gold and silver) for the new nation's currency - with gold valued at $19.30 per troy ounce. This remained essentially unchanged until 1834, when the price of gold was raised to the $20.67 level which held for the next 100 years. It was not until 1934 that President Franklin Delano Roosevelt devalued the dollar by raising the price of gold to $35 per ounce.
Relative to today's world economic conditions, it is imperative to remember that F.D.R.'s stated purpose for dramatically increasing the value of gold was to boost commodity prices (especially farm products) and create more employment for the millions who were suffering the devastating effects of the Great Depression.
In December 1971 representatives of the ten most industrialized nations met in Washington D.C. It was their express purpose to take whatever measures in order to improve international economic conditions. The now famous Smithsonian Agreement accorded an immediate hike in the value of gold from $35 to $38 per ounce. President Richard Nixon hailed it as "the most significant monetary agreement in the history of the world." Unfortunately, it resulted in a measure too little and too late. International economic conditions continued to deteriorate, forcing the U.S. Government in 1973 to devalue the dollar a second time by raising the official price of gold to $42.22 per ounce. Finally, all international currencies were allowed to "float" freely against gold. By June of that year the London Gold Fixing had risen to an unprecedented $120 per ounce. Exploding demand during the following months set the stage for the creation of gold futures trading on the COMEX in January 1975.
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