白银关于---Will Silver Pay You More Than Gold as an Investment?

KBG

文章很长，不一一翻译；但文章的重点是：白银的价格是黄金的1/16，自己算算吧。

In Saudi Arabia almost everyone knows about gold prices unlike in other countries because of its consumption, gold prices are up 93 percent in the past 24 months. But take a look at silver as an investment. What most investors don't know is that even though silver has never been as highly valued as gold in dollar terms, it has the potential to be a lot more profitable than gold in future.

There's a hidden link between gold and silver — which I believe should cause silver prices to soar more than gold in the next few years.

Despite fluctuations, gold prices have historically been around 16 times the price of silver. The logic behind this is simple: Gold is roughly 16 times rarer than silver inside the Earth's crust, according to the American Geological Institute. That's why almost every major world government in history set the value of silver at 1/16th the price of gold.

Based on this value, if gold costs $650, silver should cost around $41. But it doesn't. Today if silver costs only $11 an ounce. That means right now, silver is historically undervalued by close to 300 percent. Right now, gold sells at a price 50 to 60 times higher than silver.

In the 19th and 20th centuries, major world governments stopped using silver as money. And even though the white metal remained just as precious, people didn't see it as a "valuable" investment anymore.

Many experts believe that under certain market conditions, silver prices rise faster than gold's ... until silver reaches its historical value of 1/16th the price of gold. Because it happens almost every time inflation is high ... people's faith in the dollar is low... and there's a war or crisis going on. Watch the pattern. If it happens once, you could dismiss it.

KBG

补：白银的历史高峰价格是黄金的1/16左右，并非所指现在，或许未来还能达到。
* 168 percent returns during World War I: In 1914, at the beginning of World War I, silver cost 1/41 the price of gold. By 1919, it was worth 1/15th. And smart investors made 168 percent on silver in just 5 years.

* 488 percent returns during World War II: In 1941, when World War II was ripping the world apart, silver was at 1/96 the price of gold. By 1967, it was worth 1/16th. And silver investors made a whopping 488 percent.

* 433 percent returns during the 70s Oil Crisis: In 1975, during America's biggest oil crisis, silver cost 1/40th the price of gold. By 1979, it was worth 1/14th. Again, silver investors made 433 percent in only 4 years.

All the above time periods had one thing in common: Investors didn't trust paper money. They bought gold and silver to protect and grow their wealth.

金魔

以上資料是給予沽銀者的忠告，世事無絕對，本人理解白銀已脫离了輿黄金的裙帶關係，各有前程。

lin_ximing

金魔  在 2006-9-4 12:16 PM 發表:

以上資料是給予沽銀者的忠告，世事無絕對，本人理解白銀已脫离了輿黄金的裙帶關係，各有前程。

金鹰兄:金银并未脱离,最多只能看做银带金走!

goldenfish001

KGB,
i am new to this board, but still sort of realize that you are also one of the 'big brother' here in this discussion board.  i am in my learning stage, and hope to learn more from all the 'big brother' here.

i have 1 question that i dont understand regarding your 2nd post. About the narrowing of the gap between gold and silver.  you have use WW-I and WW-II as examples.  Will that narrowing of gap from 1/41 to 1/15 and 1/96 to 1/16 be because of silver going up, or in the beginning of war, people buy sooo much gold that it push the ration to 1/41 and 1/96.... so by the end of the war, when the gold price come back down to a more 'normal' level, the ration become narrow back down toward the ~1/16 ratio.

KBG

goldenfish001  在 2006-9-4 13:01 發表:

KGB,
i am new to this board, but still sort of realize that you are also one of the 'big brother' here in this discussion board.  i am in my learning stage, and hope to learn more from all the 'bi ...

Welcome,friend.
First I am not  'big brother' ,just little brother,haha.
But now I say sorry that I have to take a rest,I will reply your question in the afternoon becuase I must collect more informations.
On the other hand,can you speak chinese?then other people can read it,thanks.

ＡＢＣ

银能独立行走吗?

雷文

在下覺得白銀有造市嫌疑，ETF白銀上市才半年，如全球投資者對貴金屬失去信心，那巴克萊實在有需要出來托市來確保日後推出各樣產品給市場買賣!

gxying

雷文  在 2006-9-4 14:51 發表:

在下覺得白銀有造市嫌疑，ETF白銀上市才半年，如全球投資者對貴金屬失去信心，那巴克萊實在有需要出來托市來確保日後推出各樣產品給市場買賣!

支持！

金魔

造市正碓，但全世界的銀，非一個半個基金能操控，可能是非常多的有心者。當心！買賣實銀者另議，投機者緊切止損位。