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發表於 2007-8-24 14:15:37
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回復 #1 BY 的帖子
My opinion on the flow:-
Subprime loan -> tighting credit -> rate hike -> (FED increase liquidation to stabilize the market)
market seems recover after increase the money supply, but pay attention to the next focus,
the write off amount from the instutions. Absolutoldy it will lower the company earnings,
and reflected to its profit, what do you think if the write off is $1B vs the annual
profit is $20B, its equivalent to 5%, then what will be affecting the P/E ratio & back to the basic,
the share price.
Any other point to discuss!! |
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