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發表於 2008-1-4 19:09:41
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原帖由 HW 於 2008-1-4 04:47 PM 發表
For today, the last day of this week. I won't recommend to make any buying over around 860. But, it's still ok to make another buying @ around 847-855 and will be kept for over 88X shortly in the ...
今天看到一篇關於2008年金子的預測升降幅度跟時間的配合,可惜又是英文發表!!但不妨用來參考,因為跟HW兄的推測相近....
Dec 31 2007
The Leg Count and Price Projection for the future
Beginning from the previously forecasted projected low timing for August 27, 2007, the market began another 3-leg sequence,
which was completed on November at 841.00. This appears to be the 2nd upward leg of a larger 3-leg sequence that began from
the October 2006 low.
An advance equal to the last upward leg (Upside swing measurement) projects an advance to 997.00. The Turn-Around Bottom
formation from the June low of 2007 projects an advance to 975.00. The February Comex contract projects the first resistance at 885.00.
Time Projections for the Future
The dominant 36 week cycle low was last due in August of 2007 and is due to recur ideally the week of February 18, 2008.
Projected low timing is due ideally the week of March 17th. This Timing is intended to isolate the 36 week cycle low and should take precedence over the February time frame. Moreover, this low will be anticipated to bring an advance into the seasonal high, which is due in May.
It is interesting to note that Projected Low Timing is due ideally the week of March 3rd for Crude Oil and Projected Top Timing is
due ideally the week of March 31st for the S&P 500. These time frames should be watched in tandem with the Gold market for a
potential major acceleration in those current trends.
As of this writing Projected Low Timing for Gold is due ideally the week of January 14th (*1) with weekly reversal timing due the
week of December 31st. *2 It should be noted that weekly reversal timing is due the week of January 7th for Platinum.
The advance in late 2006 took 7 weeks and advanced 195.00. So, it is reasonable to suggest that 975.00 could be achieved before the March Low. If the market fails to reach 975.00 by mid-February; then the market should reach this level after the projected
March low timing. The key is to measure the price action at the aforementioned time frames.
*1: The projected low timing isolates amplitude only; not magnitude. The anticipated pullback into January 14th may be a higher
low than the week of December 17th.
*2: If the market 1st advances above the high of the previous week; then a reversal back to the downside is expected. If the
market 1st declines below the previous week; then a reversal back to the upside will be expected |
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樓主: HW
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發表於 2008-1-4 18:51:11
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