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發表於 2006-10-7 01:21:32
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雷文 在 2006-10-6 04:17 PM 發表:
小雷真的建議大家今晚開開心心與家人共團圓，飯後與家人/愛人共賞月色及花燈，不要再為一兩天走勢而帶來煩惱，天天都有買賣，日前的巨浪都走過，又可必為半天行情擔憂!
在下只有2手舊單在573位置，今天都會等573位置平掉! 下週由零開始，有興趣可以與在下一同出發!
今天見議大家平掉倉單原因，除了不想大家憂心外，更重要的是美國大數據公佈，無謂左猜右度，非農職位預測增加12.5萬個，失業率維持4.7%，平均時薪增加0.3%。今次數據好壞都不易分析，好數據不一定利淡黃金，壞數據也不一定利好，市場不會給你這樣演繹，單是對美國未來第四季經濟分析，已可出現數種變化，炒數據比炒圖表難，宏觀的問題太多，數據出現後價格不會即時反映，易落陷阱。
太長，在下不譯了!
The economy created 51,000 jobs last month, the Labor department said in Washington. While that was fewer than economists predicted, it was offset by a 188,000 rise in August that was almost 50 percent bigger than the government previously reported. The jobless rate unexpectedly declined to 4.6 percent.
Evidence of quicker economic growth prompted traders to pare bets the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates early next year, making dollar-denominated assets more attractive to international investors.
``The labor market is a bit stronger than the market expected,'' said Robert Sinche, head of global currency strategy at Bank of America Corp. in New York. ``The report may push the market to question that it may be too early to discount a rate cut. The dollar gets some support here.''
``The economy is slowing, it's not collapsing,'' said Anthony Chan, chief economist at JPMorgan Private Client Services in New York and a former Fed economist. ``There is no need to lower rates immediately.''
Employment in service-producing industries, which include retailers, banks and government agencies, rose 62,000 last month after gaining 170,000 in August, the report showed.
Manufacturers shed 19,000 jobs last month. The manufacturing workweek fell to 41.1 hours from 41.3 in August and overtime fell to 4.3 hours. Builders added 8,000 jobs after adding 23,000 jobs in the prior month.
Workers' average hourly earnings rose 0.2 percent for a second month. Economists expected a 0.3 percent increase in hourly wages. Earnings rose 4 percent from September 2005, matching the biggest gain in five years.
Average weekly earnings rose to $569.19 last month from $567.84 in August.
Some Fed districts reported ``scattered labor shortages and associated upward wage pressures,'' the central bank said last month in its regional survey known as the beige book.
Because fewer people are entering the labor force than in years past, a smaller number of new jobs is needed to keep the unemployment rate constant, economists said. That number is now about 130,000 per month, Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said in testimony to Congress in July, while Chicago Fed President Michael Moskow put the figure at 100,000. The number used to be as high as 150,000, economists say.
Fed policy makers kept their benchmark lending rate unchanged at their past two meetings after raising it 17 consecutive times since June 2004. The Fed cited moderating economic growth in its decision.
Bernanke said in a speech this week that the slump in housing construction is one of the ``major drags that is causing the economy to slow.'' He said declines in home building will trim about a percentage point off economic growth in the second half and restrain the expansion next year.
Gross domestic product will grow at an annual rate of 2.6 percent this quarter, compared with a 5.6 percent pace in the first three month of 2006, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists taken last month.
Cutbacks at U.S. automakers are also eroding growth in the economy and payrolls.
American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc. said this week it will offer buyouts or retirement incentives to union workers at five plants in New York and Michigan. The Detroit-based company is cutting costs as U.S. automakers decrease production.
American Axle must ``realign our workforce with actual and projected production and market conditions,'' Richard Dauch, the company's chief executive officer, said in a statement.
More than three times as many chief executive officers expect business to worsen in the next six months than to improve, according to a survey by the Business Council issued yesterday. Most CEOs expect the pace of hiring to decline or remain stable as their focus shifts to cutting costs, the survey found. The Business Council is an invitation-only group of CEOs from Fortune 500 companies. |
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樓主: 雷文
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發表於 2006-10-6 16:56:44
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